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Idea from 沉默的主角 - 韦青 - 2025

Cosine Wave Action

Cosine Wave Action

Insight

The world changes in sine waves, but your actions should follow the cosine: phase-shifted 90 degrees ahead. The cosine leads the sine. When the world is peaking, you should already be preparing for the trough. When it is bottoming out, you should already be building for the rise. This is a mathematical metaphor for contrarian positioning, but more precise than "be contrarian." It is not about doing the opposite; it is about acting one quarter-cycle ahead of the consensus.

Related Concepts

strategy | decision | risks

Source Context

反向思维与随机:世界以正弦波变化,但我们的行动要做余弦波

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strategytimingcontrarian-thinkingrandomness